Portfolio Performance Decoded: Stop Guessing, Start Knowing
But here's the thing, your account balance lies to you.
That +$5,000 could be incredible performance or just you depositing your paycheck. Without proper performance measurement, you're flying blind with a smile on your face. The good news? Once you understand a handful of key metrics, you'll know exactly how your investments are performing. No more confusion. No more wondering if you're actually good at this or just lucky. And even better news? Turbobulls does the heavy math for you. But understanding what's happening behind the scenes? That's what separates casual investors from confident ones.What You'll Learn (Without the Boring Parts)
π The Metrics That Matter
Simple ROI, Money Weighted Returns, Realized vs Unrealized Returns, Open Win Rate, we'll cut through the jargon and show you which numbers to actually watch.π° What's Really Affecting Your Returns
Spoiler: it's not just whether stocks go up or down. Taxes, inflation, and timing play huge roles.π― How to Use Turbobulls Like a Pro
We'll show you exactly where to look and what it all means for your actual wealth.π When to Worry (and When to Celebrate)
Learn to separate signal from noise and make decisions based on real performance, not emotions.Every metric in this guide is automatically calculated in Turbobulls. See how it works β
The One Thing You Need to Understand First
Before we dive into specific metrics, here's the core concept that changes everything:
Different questions require different metrics.
- "How much did I make overall?" β Total Return
- "How much have I actually locked in?" β Realized Return
- "Am I timing my investments well?" β Money Weighted Return (MWR)
- "What percentage of my trades are winners?" β Open Win Rate
- "How are my holdings doing right now?" β Unrealized Return
Simple ROI: Where Everyone Starts
Let's start with the basics because, frankly, this is what 90% of people mean when they say "how much did I make?"The Formula (Don't Run Away)
Return = (What You Have Now - What You Started With) / What You Started With Γ 100%Real Example (Because Math Needs Context)
You bought $5,000 of stocks. Now they're worth $6,250.
Return = ($6,250 - $5,000) / $5,000 Γ 100% = 25%Congrats! You made 25%. π
When Simple ROI Actually Works
Perfect for:
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Single one-time investments
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No additional deposits or withdrawals
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Short time periods (under a year)
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Quick sanity checks
Terrible for:
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Regular contributions (401k, monthly investing)
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Comparing investments over different time periods
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Anything involving complex cash flows
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Actually understanding if you're a good investor
The "Aha!" Moment
Here's where it gets interesting. Two scenarios:
Investor A:
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Puts in $10,000
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One year later: $11,000
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Simple ROI: 10%
Investor B:
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Puts in $10,000
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Adds $1,000 every month
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One year later: $23,000
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Simple ROI: 130% (!)
When Your Portfolio Gets Complicated (Spoiler: Immediately)
Real life is messy. You don't just invest once and walk away. You:
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Add money when you get paid
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Withdraw for emergencies
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Reinvest dividends
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Maybe panic-sell and regret it later (we've all been there)
This is where things get spicy πΆοΈ
The Problem with Adding Money
Imagine you start with $10,000 and end the year with $16,000. Sounds like a 60% return!But wait... you added $5,000 in June. So really:
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Your investment grew from $10k β $11k (before the addition)
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Then you added $5k
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That combined $16k grew to... $16k
Your actual return? Maybe 10%. Way different from 60%.
Enter: Money Weighted Return (Your New Best Friend)
Money Weighted Return (also called IRR - Internal Rate of Return) is the superhero that saves the day. It asks: "What steady rate of return would create my ending balance, given all my deposits and withdrawals?"A Story About Timing
Meet Sarah and Mike. Both start with $20,000 to invest over one year:
Sarah's Journey:
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January: Invests $5,000 (market at $100/share = 50 shares)
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Market drops 30% to $70/share
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July: Invests $15,000 (at $70/share = 214 shares)
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December: Market recovers to $100/share
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Total shares: 264, worth $26,400
Mike's Journey:
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January: Invests $15,000 (market at $100/share = 150 shares)
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Market drops 30% to $70/share
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July: Invests $5,000 (at $70/share = 71 shares)
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December: Market recovers to $100/share
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Total shares: 221, worth $22,100
Same market movement. Same total invested ($20,000). But:
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Sarah's MWR: approximately +32% (she bought heavily at the dip)
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Mike's MWR: approximately +11% (he invested heavily at the peak)
This is why MWR matters. It captures whether you're timing your investments well (or poorly). Sarah didn't have better stock picks, she had better timing.
Stop Calculating MWR Manually
The Math Behind Money Weighted Return
Okay, for those who want to peek under the hood (you can skip this if formulas make you queasy):MWR finds the rate that makes this equation true:
0 = Initial Investment + Cash Flow 1/(1+MWR)^t1 + Cash Flow 2/(1+MWR)^t2 + ... + Final Value/(1+MWR)^tnWhere:
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Initial Investment is negative (money out)
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Additional deposits are negative
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Withdrawals are positive
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Final value is positive
Translation: What interest rate would make all your money ins and outs balance out to your current portfolio value?
Don't worry, you'll never calculate this by hand. Even Excel struggles with it. This is why Turbobulls does it automatically.Open Win Rate: Are You Picking Winners?
One of the most intuitive metrics Turbobulls provides is Open Win Rate, the percentage of your currently open positions that are profitable.What It Tells You
Open Win Rate = (Number of Profitable Open Positions / Total Open Positions) Γ 100%
Example:
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You have 20 open positions
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14 are currently showing gains
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Your Open Win Rate: 70%
Why This Matters
While MWR tells you your overall performance and realized returns show what you've captured, Open Win Rate gives you a quick health check on your current portfolio. A high win rate suggests your stock picking or timing is working well.Interpreting Win Rates:
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80%+: Exceptional, most positions are winners
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60-80%: Strong, you're picking well or timing is good
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40-60%: Average, normal for diversified portfolios
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Below 40%: Concerning, may need strategy review
Using Win Rate Strategically
Track your Open Win Rate over time and by segment:- By asset type: Are your stocks outperforming your ETFs? How do your deposits compare to your funds?
- By broker: Does one platform's research lead to better picks?
- By strategy tag: Is your #growth strategy outperforming #value? What about #dividend vs #momentum?
- By time period:
- Lot open date: Are positions opened this year performing better than last year's?
- Lot close period: Did Q3 exits outperform Q4 exits?
- By lot status: Compare cleared positions vs uncleared to understand settlement timing effects
- Custom multi-dimensional filters: Combine any criteria : for example, "cleared tech stock lots opened in 2024 via Interactive Brokers tagged #longterm"
Realized vs Unrealized Returns: The Complete Picture
One of the most powerful features in Turbobulls is the breakdown between realized and unrealized returns. This distinction is crucial for understanding your actual gains.The Key Difference
Realized Returns: Profits (or losses) from positions you've closed. This is actual money you could withdraw or reinvest.
Unrealized Returns: Paper gains (or losses) from positions you still hold. These could change before you sell.
Why This Matters
Many investors celebrate unrealized gains without considering they haven't actually captured that profit yet. Market conditions can change. Turbobulls shows you both, so you know:-
How much profit you've actually locked in (realized)
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How much is still at risk in the market (unrealized)
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Your total return combining both
The Breakdown
Turbobulls breaks down both realized and unrealized returns into:
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Capital Gain: Price appreciation/depreciation
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Currency Gain: Foreign exchange effects
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Income: Dividends and interest payments
Example:
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Realized Capital Gain: +$1,200 (from sold positions)
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Unrealized Capital Gain: +$1,600 (from current holdings)
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Total Capital Gain: +$2,800
What's Really Affecting Your Returns
Now for the plot twists. Your portfolio return isn't just "stocks go up, number gets bigger." Several hidden factors are always at work:Price Return vs Total Return
Price Return: Just capital gains (stock price changes)
Total Return: Price gains + currency gains + dividends and distributions - fees and taxes
Many investors obsess over stock prices and ignore dividends. Big mistake. Over long periods, dividends can represent 30-50% of total returns.The Inflation Tax
Here's a painful truth: A 7% return during 3% inflation is really only a 4% increase in purchasing power.Nominal Return: What your account shows
Real Return: What you can actually buy with it
Formula:
Real Return = [(1 + Nominal Return) / (1 + Inflation Rate)] - 1Example:
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Your portfolio: +10%
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Inflation: 4%
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Real return: [(1.10) / (1.04)] - 1 = 5.77%
The Tax Collector Always Wins
Unless you're in a tax-advantaged account, Uncle Sam wants his cut.After-Tax Return = Total Return Γ (1 - Tax Rate)This varies wildly based on:
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Account type (taxable, IRA, 401k)
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Investment type (stocks, bonds, crypto)
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Holding period (long-term vs short-term capital gains)
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Your income bracket
Currency Effects (For the International Investors)
Bought foreign stocks? Currency fluctuations add another layer:
Local Return: Stock performance in its home currency
Currency Return: Exchange rate changes
Your Total Return: A combination of both
Example:
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You buy Japanese stocks
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Stocks gain 8% in yen
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Yen weakens 5% against the dollar
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Your return: approximately 2.6%
Practical Example: Reading Your Turbobulls Dashboard
Let's walk through a real scenario and see how Turbobulls brings it all together.Your Investment Story
January 2024: Started with $20,000
March 2024: Market dipped, you added $5,000
April 2024: Sold some tech stocks for $3,500 (cost basis was $3,000)
June 2024: Received $400 in dividends (auto-reinvested)
September 2024: Withdrew $3,000 for car repairs (sold positions at a loss, -$200)
December 2024: Portfolio value $24,800
What Your Dashboard Shows
In Turbobulls, you'll see these key metrics:
Portfolio Overview:
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Principal Invested: $25,000 (total deposits minus withdrawals)
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Market Value: $24,800
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Total Return: +$2,800 (+11.2%)
Performance Metrics:
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Money Weighted Return (MWR): +12.3%
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Annualized MWR: +12.1%
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Open Win Rate: 65% (13 out of 20 open positions are profitable)
Return Breakdown:
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Total Return: +$2,800
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Realized Return: +$300 (from closed positions)
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Unrealized Return: +$2,500 (from current holdings)
Component Analysis:
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Capital Gain: +$2,300
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Realized: +$500 (from sales in April)
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Unrealized: +$1,800 (current holdings)
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Currency Gain: +$100 (from foreign stocks)
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Realized: +$50
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Unrealized: +$50
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Income: +$400 (dividends)
Costs:
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Fees: -$75 (broker commissions)
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Taxes: -$125 (tracked per transaction)
Interpreting the Story
Your investments are performing well with a 12.3% MWR. Your Open Win Rate of 65% shows that most of your current positions are profitable, which is a healthy sign. You've realized only $300 in gains so far (from selling positions), while $2,500 remains unrealized. This means most of your profit is still "on paper" and could fluctuate. The April sale was profitable (+$500 realized capital gain), but the September emergency withdrawal resulted in a small loss (-$200). This timing impacted your overall returns slightly.Segment Analysis
Turbobulls lets you slice this data multiple ways:By Asset Type:
- Stocks: +15% MWR
- ETFs: +8% MWR
- Funds: +6% MWR
- Deposits: +3% MWR
By Broker:
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Broker A: +14% MWR, $50 in fees
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Broker B: +10% MWR, $25 in fees
By Currency:
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USD positions: +12% return
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EUR positions: +8% return + 2% currency gain
By Tag:
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#tech: +18% return
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#dividend: +9% return
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#longterm: +11% return
Discover Which Strategies Actually Deliver
Move beyond portfolio-level metrics. Turbobulls' multi-dimensional analysis reveals performance patterns across assets, brokers, currencies, and custom segments, intelligence that transforms decision-making.
- Performance segmentation by asset, broker, type (stocks, ETFs, funds, deposits), and currency
- Custom tag-based strategy tracking
- Comparative analysis across all dimensions
- Identify your most profitable approaches instantly
Common Mistakes (And How to Avoid Them)
Mistake 1: Celebrating Deposits as Returns
The Error: "My portfolio is up $10,000 this year!"
The Reality: You deposited $8,000. Your investments grew $2,000.
The Fix: Always check percentage returns, not just dollar amounts. Turbobulls separates contributions from gains automatically.
Mistake 2: Ignoring Inflation
Mistake 2: Ignoring Inflation
The Error: "I made 6% last year, I'm doing great!"
The Reality: Inflation was 5%. You barely kept pace.
The Fix: Calculate real returns manually using the formula: Real Return = [(1 + MWR) / (1 + Inflation Rate)] - 1. For quick estimates, you can subtract inflation from your MWR, but this becomes less accurate with higher rates. Turbobulls shows your nominal returns, you'll need to factor in inflation yourself for long-term wealth assessment.
Mistake 3: Forgetting About Taxes
The Error: Comparing pre-tax returns between taxable and retirement accounts.
The Reality: That 15% in your taxable account might be 12% after taxes, while the 12% in your Roth IRA is all yours.
The Fix: Track accounts separately and consider tax implications. Turbobulls lets you tag accounts by type for better analysis.
Mistake 4: Short-Term Thinking
The Error: Panicking over monthly returns.
The Reality: Market volatility is normal. What matters is multi-year performance.
The Fix: Look at rolling 12-month returns, not individual months. Turbobulls provides historical performance views to smooth out the noise.
Mistake 5: Not Benchmarking
The Error: "I made 8% MWR this year, I'm a genius!"
The Reality: The S&P 500 returned 15%. You underperformed.
The Fix: Always compare your MWR against relevant benchmarks manually. While Turbobulls calculates your returns precisely, you should compare them to market indices to see if your stock picking is adding value.
Choosing the Right Metric for Your Question
Here's your quick decision guide:
Advanced Tips for Power Users
Tip 1: Use Sub-Portfolios for Better Analysis
Create separate portfolios for:
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Long-term holds vs trading positions
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Different strategies (growth vs dividend)
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Retirement vs taxable accounts
This lets you see which approaches are actually working.
Tip 2: Analyze Performance by Asset Type
See which asset types are carrying your returns. Are your stocks outperforming your ETFs? Should you shift more to funds or keep more in deposits? Turbobulls breaks down performance by type (stocks, ETFs, funds, deposits, etc.), helping you rebalance intelligently.Tip 3: Export for Tax Time
Use Turbobulls' export features to generate reports for your accountant. Having clean data on realized gains, dividend income, and holding periods saves hours during tax season.Final Thoughts: From Data to Decisions
Understanding portfolio performance metrics isn't about becoming a math wizard. It's about gaining clarity.When you know:
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What you've actually earned (vs. just deposited)
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Why those returns happened (timing, market, strategy)
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How inflation and taxes affect your real wealth
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Whether you're meeting your goals
...you can make confident decisions instead of emotional reactions.
Turbobulls handles the complexity. You handle the strategy. The investors who succeed long-term aren't the ones with the fanciest tactics or the hottest tips. They're the ones who understand their numbers, learn from them, and adjust accordingly.Now you're one of them.
Experience Institutional-Grade Portfolio Analytics
Turbobulls delivers the sophisticated performance measurement tools previously available only to professional asset managers, now accessible to individual investors who demand precision and clarity.
- Automatic MWR and annualized return calculations
- Realized vs. unrealized return tracking with component breakdown
- Multi-dimensional performance analysis (asset, broker, type, currency, tag)
- Real-time open win rate monitoring across all positions
- Comprehensive fee and tax tracking per transaction
- Zero manual calculations or spreadsheet maintenance
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: Do I really need to track all these different metrics?
Not necessarily. If you're a buy-and-hold investor with simple cash flows, Money Weighted Return and Total Return are probably enough. But having access to all metrics helps you understand specific situations better.Q: Which return should I use to compare myself to the S&P 500?
Money Weighted Return (MWR), but keep in mind this includes your timing decisions. If you want to isolate just your stock-picking skill from your timing, you'd need to check Time Weighted ReturnQ: What's the difference between realized and unrealized returns?
Realized returns are from positions you've closed, actual locked-in profits or losses. Unrealized returns are from positions you still hold, paper gains or losses that could change. Turbobulls shows both so you know what you've captured vs. what's still at risk.Q: What does Open Win Rate tell me?
It's the percentage of your currently open positions that are profitable. A 70% win rate means 70% of your holdings are showing gains. It's a quick health check on your current portfolio, though it should be viewed alongside actual return amounts.Q: My account shows a different return than Turbobulls. Why?
Your broker might use Simple ROI or exclude certain transactions. Turbobulls uses comprehensive methods (MWR) that account for all cash flows. Our numbers are typically more accurate for real-world scenarios.Q: How often should I check my performance?
For long-term investing, quarterly is plenty. More frequent checking can lead to emotional decisions based on normal market volatility.Q: Can I trust Turbobulls' calculations?
Absolutely. We use industry-standard formulas (same ones used by institutional investors and financial advisors). You can verify any calculation by checking the transaction history and doing the math yourself, though we don't recommend it. That's what we're here for.Read more
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